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Chilling predictions about the impacts of rising global temperatures

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Ninety-one of the best minds from 40 countries have concluded the world is on the fast track to irreversible damage — and a child born today will suffer its effects before he or she turns 23, reported (Australia).

Scientists have painted a stark picture of what the world will look like by 2040 if we fail to keep global warming below 1.5 degrees Celsius this century.

The authors of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report concluded that seas will rise faster than previously thought, that droughts will last longer than previously thought and that the “tipping point” will come sooner than previously thought.

“One of the key messages that comes out very strongly from this report is that we are already seeing the consequences of 1C of global warming through more extreme weather, rising sea levels and diminishing Arctic sea ice, among other changes,” said Panmao Zhai, co-chair of the IPCC Working Group.

The report looked at 6000 studies into climate change and aimed to answer two questions:

What will the world look like if temperatures rise by 2C?
What will the world look like if temperatures rise by 1.5C?

The difference is important. In December, 2015, a landmark agreement was reached to tackle climate change. The Paris Agreement set out aims to keep global temperature rise below 2C this century.

But the heads of small islands say a 2C rise will be way too high. They asked the UN to investigate the impacts of 1.5C. The findings were described as “a shock” and “quite concerning” by Bill Hare, an author of previous IPCC reports.

The report declares that a 1.5C rise in global temperatures would not only lead to low-lying islands being inundated by ocean water but a global cost of $54 trillion in damage.

It’s alarming, and conclusive. But Australia’s Environment Minister Melissa Price is far from convinced of the report’s merit.

The key sticking point for her is the report’s prediction that to meet 1.5C by 2050, the world — and Australia — would need to phase out all coal-fired power.

“I just don’t know how you could say by 2050 that you’re not going to have technology that’s going to enable good, clean technology when it comes to coal,” she told the ABC’s AM program this morning.

“We make no apology for the fact that our focus at the moment is getting electricity prices down.”

Labor’s Energy Spokesman Mark Butler said that position is dangerous but not surprising given the government’s track record on climate action.

“This Government has again decided to block their ears and ignore the science, even if it means placing our children and grandchildren in the face of serious danger,” Mr Butler said at a press conference in Adelaide this afternoon.

Earlier, he told the ABC’s Radio National Breakfast that Australia has been sliding since Tony Abbott was Prime Minister.

“We need a government that is serious about this challenge,” he said.

“It’s been clear for years now, according to the best possible scientific advice, that the world’s nations need to move to zero emissions by the middle of the century or else our children, our grandchildren and generations beyond will be exposed to very dangerous levels of climate change that will impact every element of human society.”

Australia is nowhere near where it needs to be to meet the “Paris trend line”.

“They’re still heading north and missing Paris by a long way and our 2050 2C target by an even greater margin,” Matt Drum, managing director of Melbourne based environmental group NDEVR, told The Guardian last month.

The IPCC report declares that climate change impacts could be avoided by limited global warming but that “rapid and far-reaching transitions” are required.

One of the biggest transitions will be the ending our relience on coal.

“This report makes it clear: There is no way to mitigate climate change without getting rid of coal,” Duke University climate scientist Drew Shindell told The New York Times.


We've already warmed the world about 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) since pre-industrial times — with disastrous effects. Sea levels are rising, coral reefs are dying, species are going extinct and extreme weather is on the increase, reported Deutsche Welle (Germany).

A new report by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reveals what life on Earth would look like if temperatures were to rise another 0.5 to 1.5 degrees Celsius. It also paints a picture of what a 2-degree warmer world would look like.

In the report, more than 90 scientists from 40 countries agree that it's still possible to remain under 1.5 degrees of global warming — at least technologically — and outlined what we must do to make that happen. However, a lot of political will be required.

But there are also things that normal people can do to avoid climate catastrophe. Here are six concrete ways you can take action on climate change.

1. Change your energy provider
The majority of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere come from burning coal, oil and natural gas.
In Germany, brown coal (or lignite) is responsible for a fifth of the country's CO2 emissions.
So a major step toward reducing greenhouse gases is to replace fossil fuels with renewable energies.
In many countries, you can pick your energy provider. Consider switching to one that provides energy from renewables like wind, solar, hydropower or sustainable bioenergy — check to make sure the energy company and renewable sources are independently certified.

2. Eat less meat
What ends up on your plate makes another big difference.

In a 2013 report, the United Nations' Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) found that 14.5 percent of all human-induced greenhouse gas emissions came from the livestock sector.

That is more than all cars, ships, planes and other forms of transport throughout the world combined. Of those emissions, 41 percent are caused by beef production; milk production makes up another 19 percent.

Avoiding meat and dairy products is the single simplest way to reduce your environmental impact on the planet, suggested a study released this year in the journal Science.

Getting your protein from beef instead of plants produces at least six times more greenhouse gases and uses 36 times more land.

The study also revealed the importance of how the food is produced. For example, beef raised on deforested land results in 12 times more greenhouse gases than those grazing on existing pasture.

So if you do eat meat, get it from local organic farms if possible.

3. Waste less food
Agriculture accounts for a quarter of greenhouse gas emissions, but about a third of all food grown on this planet never actually gets eaten.
Of course, not all of this goes into the waste bin — the European Parliament reckons about half of EU food waste takes place at home, the rest is lost along the supply chain or never harvested from the fields — but home is a simple starting point.
Food waste translates into a carbon footprint of a whopping 3.3 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide (CO2), according to the United Nations — amounting to more than India's annual emissions.
An easy solution: Buy less and make sure eat it all.

4. Take a train instead of flying
Flying harms the climate in several ways.

Many estimates put aviation's share of global CO2 emissions at just above 2 percent — but other aviation emissions such as nitrogen oxides (NOx), water vapor, particulates, contrails and cirrus changes contribute to additional warming effects.

Cut out a single roundtrip and you could save anywhere from 700 to 2,800 kilograms of CO2, depending on the distance traveled, fuel efficiency of the aircraft and weather conditions.

To put that into perspective: According to Eurostat, the average European emits about 900 kilograms of CO2 per year.

If you do fly, consider offsetting your carbon emissions — through a reliable, certified offsetting scheme.

5. Just consume less
Natural resources are limited.
We deplete local resource stocks through overfishing and overharvesting forests, and harm the climate by emitting more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than ecosystems can absorb.

Most countries use more natural resources than the planet can regenerate within a year. In Germany, we would need 1.7 planets per year to support our consumption levels as they are today.

But not all countries are equally to blame for overshooting our natural budget. Higher-income countries use far more resources per year than lower-income countries.

Worldwide, fossil fuels are the main culprit of our resource overshoot — and responsible for high CO2 emissions. In order to live within the means of our planet, we need to radically rethink our consumption patterns.

Do you really need that new smart phone, or discounted dress?

Reducing our environmental footprint means buying fewer products, buying products that last longer, recycling whenever possible and — best of all — reusing as much as we can. Circular economy, baby!

6. Take collective action
Many believe the most important thing individuals can do is form groups and take collective action. Bill McKibben, a veteran climate activist and a leading voice for civil society movements to protect the planet, is very vocal on this point.

While individual actions like changing behavior feed into the bigger fight against global warming, that's no longer enough considering how climate change has taken on such worrying dimensions, McKibben says.

So to really make a difference, people should join together with others in movements that are big and broad enough to actually change government policy.

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